Blog Entry

Marlins could be an interesting July seller

Posted on: July 10, 2011 8:13 pm
Edited on: July 10, 2011 9:55 pm
 
The Marlins could be one of the most interesting "selling" teams as the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline approaches, with a closer/setup man (Leo Nunez) and a starter (Ricky Nolasco) both potentially available.

That's assuming that the Marlins decide to sell.

First, team officials seem content to give their team (43-48 at the break) a chance to get back to .500 in the first week to 10 days after the break. With a post-break schedule that sees the Marlins playing the Cubs and Padres, that's not impossible.

The Marlins took a five-game winning streak into the break, but that still left them 14 games behind the division-leading Phillies and 10 1/2 games behind the wild-card leading Braves. Even a run to .500 wouldn't get them back in the race, but sources said that if they do get to .500, the Marlins likely wouldn't pull the plug on their season.

Even if the Marlins decide to sell, it won't be another fire sale. With a new stadium opening next year, the Marlins would be looking for deals that would set them up for 2012.

That means that even though they'd be willing to listen on Nolasco, they'd almost certainly need to get a major-league ready (or nearly ready) starting pitcher in return.

Nunez, who is eligible for free agency after 2012, would be easier to move. The same goes for Omar Infante (free agent after this year), left-hander Randy Choate (signed through 2012) and utility man/pinch hitter Greg Dobbs (free agent after this year).

While the Marlins have played better in July, they understand that they'd need a spectacular run to have any chance at catching the Phillies or Braves. They also understand that with ace Josh Johnson out until sometime in August, that kind of run isn't likely.

*****

When people talk about the slow-moving July trade market, the main factor mentioned is the parity in the game. There just aren't that many teams that are totally out of contention.

But baseball officials say that another big factor is the overall financial health of the game.

There just aren't many teams that need to dump big contracts.

The Marlins, for example, don't need to dump contracts simply to save money. Same goes for the Royals, who would be very willing to trade Melky Cabrera or Jeff Francoeur but aren't under financial pressure to deal either one.

*****

The Marlins are trying to decide whether they have any realistic chance to catch either the Phillies or the Braves.

The Mariners need to make the same decision in the American League West. Seattle has had a much-better-than-expected season, but they find themselves 7 1/2 games behind the Rangers and 6 1/2 games behind the Angels.

Realistically, they're not as good as either of their two division rivals. Would it really make sense for the Mariners to spend assets on adding a veteran hitter?




Comments

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Posted on: February 19, 2012 12:08 pm
 

Marlins could be an interesting July seller

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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 12, 2012 12:30 pm
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Since: Nov 27, 2011
Posted on: November 27, 2011 2:16 pm
 

Marlins could be an interesting July seller



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Since: Oct 21, 2011
Posted on: October 21, 2011 7:54 pm
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Since: Apr 6, 2009
Posted on: July 11, 2011 1:05 pm
 

Marlins could be an interesting July seller

What I want to know is where is the $85M payroll Luria promised for the new stadium's inaugural year? The payroll after 2012 would be based on the fans support Luria said.


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